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Cougars Seeded Seventh: Blessing or Curse?

The Cougars were revealed as a 7-seed on Sunday afternoon and will play the Florida Gators (21-12 overall, 9-7 conference) on Thursday, March 18th in Oklahoma City.  BYU was selected to the West Region, which they had hoped for, but fell a number of spots due to their most recent losses to New Mexico (in Provo) and UNLV in the MWC Tournament.  BYU had been projected as high as a 3 seed during regular season conference play but that was out of the question after losing to the Lobos for a second time in late February.

Still, BYU had hoped to secure at least a 4-seed in the MWC Tournament but had that hope taken away in the final minute on Friday night in Las Vegas.  Of course, the Rebels' lackluster performance on Saturday may not have helped the Cougars much either - though it did help the MWC by making San Diego State a Tournament lock.

But on Saturday and even Sunday morning, BYU fans held out hope for a 5-seed or even a 6.  Yet, after three consecutive seasons of attaining an 8-seed for the Big Dance, the Cougars still only managed to improve one spot. 

Of course, there are still some positives to be seen from BYU's perspective so let's break some of them down:

The Pros:

- Should the Cougars beat the Gators and (assuming) the Wildcats, they'd come to Salt Lake City for the Sweet 16.
- Had they been a 6 seed in the West, rather than a 7, they'd be playing an excellent Minnesota (11-seed) team - in relatively close Milwaukee.
- They could have drawn Georgia Tech (10-seed in the Midwest), who would have abused the Cougars inside.  Florida, whose two leading scorers are both under 6'2", is a much better match-up for BYU.
- Florida has only won two of their last five games, with their wins coming against Georgia and Auburn, both of whom finished at the bottom of the SEC.
- Like the Cougars, Florida is an average rebounding team, averaging 37 rebounds per game.  The Gators also block fewer shots than the Cougars (3.6 to 2.7).
- The Gators aren't nearly as skilled offensively as the Cougars according to basic stats, with a true shooting percentage of 52.8% (163rd in the nation) compared to BYU's 59.7% (2nd in the country), and an inferior assist/turnover ration (48th overall to the Cougars' 14th overall).

The Cons:

- Should the Cougars beat the Gators, they'd play Kansas State in Oklahoma City.  That's a mere 5 hour drive for Wildcat fans making it nearly a non-neutral site.
- From Alligator Army:

"I am very excited to see what Chandler Parsons and Kenny Boynton do in NCAA play. Also, take a look at the heights of the Cougars. Their two big guys are not contributors, and their top four scorers are all under 6-foot-6. Florida is at their best playing smaller teams. As a Gator fan, you have to hope Vernon Macklin and Alex Tyus can nut up and play like true big men inside."

Links:

BYU gets seven seed... - Salt Lake Tribune
BYU will play SEC power - Daily Herald
Cougars to face Florida
- Deseret News
Gators grateful for bid - Orlando Sentinel

More significant tournament match-ups highlighted after the jump...

Star-divide

West:

5 Butler 12 UTEP (in San Jose, 3/18)

Midwest:

6 Tennessee vs. 11 San Diego State (in Providence, 3/18)
8 UNLV vs. 9 Northern Iowa (in Oklahoma City, 3/18)

East:

3 New Mexico vs. 14 Montana (in San Jose, 3/18)

South:

5 Texas A & M vs. 12 Utah State (in Spokane, 3/19)

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FYI

I really like your chances of advancing to the regional finals. Everyone will be shocked but you and me.

by Jeff Nusser on Mar 14, 2010 5:00 PM PDT reply actions  

New Mexico

getting a 3 seed does come as a surprise to me, but it’s nice to see they got it. Good opportunity for them to get to Sweet 16 at the minimum

by Howi on Mar 14, 2010 5:03 PM PDT reply actions  

I think SDSU and UNM are pretty comparable (SDSU was 2 points away from a 3 game sweep), and the numbers show it. However, it’s an 8 seed difference.

I agree with your assessment. It could have been worse. Of all the 10 seeds, I’d rather play Florida. Could you imagine getting GT?! Oh man. Even as a 6 seed, we could have played Washington or SDSU. Some of those 5 seeds have some tough match-ups as well: Butler plays UTEP, A&M plays Utah St.

However, that 2nd round game is a ROUGH draw. In OKC, against one of the best offensive rebounding teams in the nation. We need Jimmer to go OFF, like he did in AZ.

However, getting a 7 seed is very disappointing. BYU gets the most wins in its history, and it only picks up a 7 seed? We were a couple possessions away from being a 2 or 3 seed. Very disappointing. UNM gets to face a first-round team that only has one player that will give them problems. Anthony Johnson. Look out Lobos.

Best-case scenario? NORTH TEXAS WINNING! Yeah right.

My swag was phenomenal.

by se7en on Mar 14, 2010 6:02 PM PDT up reply actions  

CNNSI has BYU going to the Final Four

Check out this story on the cover page of CNNSI.com from Stewart Mandel picking BYU to go to the FInal Four:

http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/stewart_mandel/03/14/breaking.bracket/index.html?eref=sihp

I hate Robert Horry

by kinhops on Mar 14, 2010 9:56 PM PDT reply actions  

Surprised but ready to move forward

The 7-seed was definitely a shock, but I know Gonzaga fans (and others) are also disappointed in their placement. Then again, we didn’t win the regular season or tournament championships. I’m confident, however, that we’ve got a chance to make some serious moves (we all love Stewart Mandel right now), and I don’t think it’s because we lucked out by being placed in the weak end of a bracket, but rather because this team really is stronger than before, with the ability to attack in more ways than one.

by Choy on Mar 15, 2010 6:18 AM PDT reply actions  

Final 4?

Steward Mandel of CNNSI has picked BYU to go the Final Four! I don’t know if we can get past Kansas State, but it’s nice to have someone outside of Utah think that we have a chance.
http://sportsillustrated.cnn.com/2010/writers/stewart_mandel/03/14/breaking.bracket/index.html?cnn=yes&hpt=C2

by markmclean21 on Mar 15, 2010 8:18 AM PDT reply actions  

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