Stephen Rogers: Looking to the Future

by JustinSchille on Mar 10, 2011 4:09 PM PST

Stephen Rogers intrigues me. Plain and simple.

Streaky and inconsistent he is, but that should be expected of someone who averages less than 11 minutes a game. He is a proven player, being named a Juco All-American at Mesa CC, where he averaged 21.3 points, hit 85 threes and shot .499 from the field, .427 from three and .810 from the free throw line. Those, my friends, are not fluky shooting numbers.

Let's have a look at Rogers' 2010-2011 season thus far:

			FG			3PT			FT			Rebounds			Misc
2010	G	M	M	A	Pct	M	A	Pct	M	A	Pct	Off	Def	Tot	Ast	TO	Stl	Blk	PF	PPG
	30	10.7	1.3	3.0	42.2	0.6	1.7	35.3	1.2	1.4	85.4	0.5	1.8	2.3	0.4	0.7	0.3	0.2	0.7	4.3

While his field goal and 3-point percentages are down, his free throw percentage is up. This is not unexpected; a player used to taking many shots a game is usually not as effective when given sparse and inconsistent minutes. Rogers has shown that, with extended minutes, he can be a reliable scoring option as well as a vastly underrated rebounder.

Rogers projects to get upwards of 25 minutes next season, with the departure of Kyle Collinsworth and both starting guards who need not be named.

Extrapolating Rogers' current averages to this projected minutes total gives him a line of 10 ppg and 5.4 rpg. Fantastic numbers for your starting Small Forward or Sixth Man. Is it a possibility that Rogers starts next year? Certainly. If DeMarcus Harrison does not earn the starting 2 job, I expect to see the Cougars go big with Abouo at the 2 and then Rogers' at the 3.

Do not be surprised when, with extended minutes next season, Rogers' effectiveness progresses by leaps and bounds.

Poll

What will Stephen Rogers' production look like for the 2011-2012 season?

Less than 5 ppg and 3 rpg

0 votes

5-10 ppg and 3-6 rpg

10 votes

More than 10 ppg and 6 rpg

13 votes

23 votes | Poll has closed

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Comments

great write up

You should do this for everyone for next years squad, maybe once the season is over, but I like it none the less.
As far as rogers goes. I see the starting 5 next year will be davies (indications are that he will be back next year, according to holmoe), hartsock, abouo, harrison & carlino. With the major contributors off the bench being c. Collinsworth, rogers & winder. Steven will be a big contributor & I can see him averaging around 10pts.

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by lars.ON on Mar 10, 2011 4:57 PM PST via mobile reply actions

Who is Carlino?

Is he an incoming freshman or returning from a mission? I just don’t recall hearing of him before

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by wheatie_87 on Mar 10, 2011 11:50 PM PST up reply actions

Carlino is a UCLA transfer

He has to sit out a year and actually won’t be able to play until next December, but he has been practicing with the team all year and is slated to replace Jimmer.

by mdr_76 on Mar 11, 2011 7:35 AM PST up reply actions

carlino is legit

Not lds, but grew up in gilbert, az.

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by lars.ON on Mar 11, 2011 9:02 AM PST via mobile up reply actions

Carlino is legit

I watched a prep game of Carlino in AZ. It was an accident; I was home from BYU on a break and caught a game of my high school alma mater. They were playing Carlino and Highland High and the kid was electric. Coaches son, so he is fundamentally sound. East Valley Player of the Year as a Sophomore and First Team All-State as a sophomore. Second team all-state as a Freshman! If he wouldn’t have moved to Indiana his junior year he could have been Player of the Year in AZ. AND, he graduated early from his Indiana hs to enroll at UCLA (where by the way, he was all-state in indiana as well). Special talent. Love the idea of him, Anson Winder and Harrison in the back court for the cougs for four more years. Three special kids.

by toddsmells on Mar 11, 2011 2:17 PM PST up reply actions

You got it.

by JustinSchille on Mar 10, 2011 5:26 PM PST reply actions

I knew he was good in jc,

but I didn’t know he was that good. And with Logan leaving that should open up some minutes, but there’s also C Collinsworth coming back.

by sabbi on Mar 11, 2011 9:41 AM PST via mobile reply actions

Rogers, if Harrison the incoming SG doesn't crack the starting 5, will start at the 3.

If Harrison starts, Rogers will most likely be the 6th man, first guy off the bench. Collinsworth will back up hartsock at the 4, shouldn’t interfere with Rogers’ minutes.

by JustinSchille on Mar 11, 2011 12:33 PM PST up reply actions

Starting 5 next year

I was talking with my friend over lunch about this today and we think it’ll come out that Carlino, Harrison, Abouo, Hartsock and Davies will start. Have Rogers as the 6th man for Harrison or Abouo with Winder and Collinsworth coming off the bench. I remember us getting those two big kids off their missions (Nate Austin & Ian Harward) but from all I’ve read they will be more in the mold of James Anderson (reserve minutes, situational defender, minimal offensive presence) than Chris Miles (starter with low minutes, more polished offensively, more athletic).

I see Rogers starting if Harrison needs time to transition to the college game though.

by toddsmells on Mar 11, 2011 2:26 PM PST reply actions