Kevin Liles-US PRESSWIRE
Using Las Vegas odds to get a hopefully-accurate prediction for BYU's game against Georgia Tech.
It's swing game time. At 4-4, this Saturday's road game against Georgia Tech is key in differentiating a decent season with a mediocre one. Let's take a look at the betting lines and odds to see where things stand.
This is, of course, for entertainment purposes only. While we don't encourage gambling, referencing predictions from the people who make money on predictions is far more useful than reading what sports journalists predict.
When the first sports book opened a line, BYU was a 2-point underdog and the over/under was set at 50.5.
It is important to note that for college odds, home-field advantage is generally considered to be worth 3 points. Jeff Sagarin, ratings master whose poll is part of the BCS computer rankings, calculates home-field advantage on a season-by-season basis. This season, his numbers show home-field advantage as being worth 2.47 points, the lowest spot he's had it this year.
After some movement, here are where the lines sit now:
O/U is the over/under betting line -- it is a point total for both teams.
LVH: GT by 2.5 | O/U 51
MGM: GT by 2 | O/U 50.5
Hill: GT by 2.5 | O/U 50.5
Wynn: GT by 2 | O/U 50
Caesars: GT by 2.5 | O/U 50.5
Stations: GT by 2.5 | O/U 50.5
As usual, lots of agreement here, with a little money coming in on Georgia Tech at most books to make the line go up a little bit.
According to the combination of the odds and the over/under, odds have the Yellow Jackets as the winner by the approximate score of 26-24.
Using Sagarin's ratings, BYU is rated with 79.69 points and Georgia Tech is rated at 68.91 -- a difference of 10.78. Factor in the 2.47 points for the Irish home field advantage, and Sagarin's formula has BYU as an approximate 8 point favorite. Using Sagarin's spread, BYU wins 29-21.
So fans -- with the Vegas lines disagreeing with Sagarin so much, which feels right? What would you bet?
Look for more lines and predictions tomorrow with Zach Bloxham's weekly 9-Line Prediction. For more odds, visit the NCAA Football odds hub.