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As the 2013 edition of the West Coast Conference Tournament approaches, oddsmakers and computers have laid down their predictions. The consensus is heavy in Gonzaga's favor after the Bulldogs swept through the WCC regular season with a mark of 16-0.
At The Greek Sportsbook, Gonzaga is a favorite at -350 to win the tournament. Saint Mary's despite also byeing into the semifinals, is still +250 to claim the tournament title and NCAA tournament autobid.
Here are the rest of the lines from The Greek. //lays a few dollars down on Loyola Marymount
Gonzaga -350
St. Marys +250
BYU +500
Santa Clara +1,200
San Francisco +1,500
San Diego +1,500
Pepperdine +5,000
Portland +5,000
Loyola Marymount +25,000
The folks at TeamRankings.com have calculated win likelihoods in the form of percentages for the tournament. Gonzaga is given a 68.8% chance to win the tournament, Saint Mary's 22.8%, and BYU 6.2%.
BYU is given a 85.2% chance of winning its quarterfinal game and a 29.3% chance of beating Saint Mary's. Here's the full table of winning likelihoods from TeamRankings:
|
Seed |
Team |
R2 |
Quarter |
Semi |
Champ |
Win |
|
1.0 |
Gonzaga |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
92.16% |
68.84% |
|
2.0 |
Saint Mary's |
100.00% |
100.00% |
100.00% |
69.47% |
22.85% |
|
3.0 |
BYU |
100.00% |
100.00% |
85.19% |
29.30% |
6.19% |
|
4.0 |
Santa Clara |
100.00% |
100.00% |
67.83% |
6.39% |
1.80% |
|
5.0 |
San Francisco |
100.00% |
69.43% |
25.76% |
1.33% |
0.25% |
|
6.0 |
San Diego |
100.00% |
61.53% |
10.61% |
1.00% |
0.05% |
|
9.0 |
Loyola Mymt |
58.62% |
19.70% |
4.55% |
0.10% |
0.01% |
|
7.0 |
Pepperdine |
100.00% |
38.47% |
4.21% |
0.23% |
0.01% |
|
8.0 |
Portland |
41.38% |
10.86% |
1.86% |
0.02% |
0.00% |
Take that 0.1% of an LMU title at +25,000 and run!