Bronco vs. Lavell
Bronco Mendenhall through 8 seasons is 3-5 (.375 win pct) as head coach against Utah. He's 2-2 at home, and 1-3 on the road. He's had more success at home in the rivalry then on the road.
Lavell Edwards overall was 24-7 (.774 win pct.) as head coach against Utah. He was 10-4 at home, and 12-3 on the road. He had more success on the road than at home, although did great at home as well.
8 will be the magic number because that's how many seasons Bronco has been head coach. We will use it as the common denominator.
Lavell Edwards' first 8 seasons he was 7-1 (.875 win pct.) against Utah. He was 4-0 at home, and 3-1 on the road.
Lavell Edwards' last 8 seasons he was 3-5 (.375 win pct.) against Utah, same record as Bronco. 0-4 at home, 3-1 on the road. Safe to say this was the point in the rivalry where the home team was at a disadvantage.
To make it fair, Utah wasn't a major player in the rivalry for a while through the 70's and 80's until Ron McBride showed up. Ron McBride coached from 1990-2002. The rivalry record during that time was 7-6 in favor of Lavell.
Lavell's first 8 seasons against McBride he went 4-4. Going 1-3 at home, 3-1 on the road.
Advantage= Lavell Edwards over Bronco
Whittingham vs McBride
Whittingham through 8 seasons is 5-3 (.625 win pct.) against BYU. He is 3-1 at home, 2-2 on the road. Coach Whitt, much like Bronco, has more success in this rivalry at home than on the road.
McBride overall went 6-7 against BYU (.462 win pct.), 2-5 at home, 4-2 on the road. McBride and Lavell both had more success in the rivalry as the road team, which is odd to say the least.
McBride's first 8 seasons he went 4-4 against BYU, 1-3 at home, 3-1 on the road as mentioned above.
McBride's last 8 seasons, which criss-crosses with his first 8 seasons considering he was head coach for 13 seasons, he went 4-4 against BYU, 1-3 at home, 3-1 on the road.
Once again, 8 being the magic number considering that's how many seasons both Whitt and Bronco have coached, making it a more fair comparison to Lavell and McBride as to the number of years.
Advantage= Whittingham over McBride
Bronco vs Whittingham
Whittingham is 5-3 against Bronco, 3-1 at home, 2-2 on the road. The average margin of victory has been 15.8 points in the Utah wins, the 48-24 and 54-10 victories obviously inflating that number. The other three Utah wins were by 7 points, 1 point, and 3 points respectively. 3.6 points being the average margin of victory in those 3 close games.
In Bronco's three wins against Whittingham, the average margin of victory has been by 4 points. The three wins were by 2 points, 7 points, and 3 points respectively.
Whittingham has 2 blowout wins against BYU, Bronco has 0 blowout wins against Utah.
Advantage=Whittingham over Bronco
Bronco vs McBride
McBride went 6-7 in the rivalry as head coach at Utah. This is a 46.2% win pct.
Bronco is currently 3-5 in the rivalry as head coach at BYU. This is a 37.5% win pct.
McBride took over a struggling Utah program that was 2-16 against BYU 18 years prior to McBride taking over as head coach in 1990.
The previous 18 seasons before Bronco took over, BYU was 9-9 against Utah before taking over as head coach in 2005.
If Bronco wants to equal the success that McBride had has head coach, Bronco would need to go 3-2 in the next 5 games against Utah. This is certainly possible, but Utah has won 4 of the last 5 rivalry games.
Advantage= McBride over Bronco
Lavell vs Whittingham
Lavell is 24-7 overall in the rivalry as head coach. He won the rivalry game 77.4% of the time. His first 8 seasons he went 7-1 to Whittinghams 5-3.
Lavell also coached Kyle Whittingham when he played for BYU. Whittingham has become a good head coach, but is a product of Lavell.
Advantage= Lavell over Whittingham
Overall in the rivalry, this is where the coaches rank in order of the greatest:
1. Lavell Edwards
2. Kyle Whittingham
3. Ron McBride
4. Bronco Mendenhall
What does this mean for this game?
Bronco is at his best in this rivalry as head coach when his team plays at home. Whittingham is at his worst in the rivalry as head coach when his team plays on the road.
This game marks the first road game of the season for Utah. This will pose problems for the team who hasn't experienced the opposing crowds in a hostile environment since last season.
BYU's defense through 2 games has allowed an average of 20 points.
BYU's offense through 2 games has scored an average of 28 points.
Utah's defense through 2 games (against FBS opponents) has allowed an average of 38.5 points.
Utah's offense through 2 games (against FBS opponents) has scored an average of 39 points.
BYU's defense usually holds the opposing team to average what BYU allows, which this year will be around 20 points. I can't see Utah far surpassing that, if at all.
If Utah's defense allows their defensive average (against FBS opponents) this year so far, the final score will be 38-20 BYU.
But it's a rivalry game, no one in their sane mind thinks the final score will be 38-20 BYU, or 39-38 Utah.
Based on BYU's defense, which is as consistent as Old Faithful, Utah will score 17-24 points. Last year, 24 points was enough for Utah to win. 17 of those points were produced by Utah's offense and special teams.
BYU's offense is better than last year. BYU scored 21 points on Utah's defense. Utah's defense was better last year than it is this year, hence, BYU will score more than 21 points against Utah this year.
My key to the game is if BYU's offense shows up this game. If they show up and get their current season average, right in the middle of the Texas and Virginia game, BYU will score 28 points, and hold Utah to 20.
For this reason, and it being in Provo, my final end-all say-all prediction for the Holy War in 2013 is........
What are your predictions? Insert them in the comments below.