After two weeks of play, BYU fans have gone from saying “WE’RE BACK” to “WE SUCK AGAIN” in consecutive weeks.
Although BYU isn’t going to win 10 games this season, another four-win season doesn’t seem very likely either, at least according to the latest win projections.
After having BYU favored in just 4 games in the preseason, ESPN’s FPI (Football Power Index) now has BYU projected to win 5.8 games. BYU is ranked 73 overall, and is pegged as a favorite in half of the remaining 10 games.
BYU is unsurprisingly big underdogs to the three remaining P5 foes and Boise State, but one potential surprise is that BYU is a home underdog to Utah State. The Aggies are ranked 52 and have looked impressive in their first two games, which include a close 38-31 road loss to Michigan State and a 60-13 beatdown of New Mexico State. The October 5th game versus Utah State could be a deciding factor of whether or not BYU is bowl eligible.
SB Nation’s Bill Connelly has BYU projected at 5.4 wins, which is only a -0.1 change from BYU’s preseason projection. Connelly projects BYU as a team that “will skate the line of bowl eligibility for a while.”
Many fans were just hoping BYU would get back to bowl eligibility this season, and after two weeks, it looks like the Cougars will be in a battle to do just that.