FanPost

BYU favored to lose first game of 2021

Some might have expected BYU to take a step back after Zach Wilson and Dax Milne left for the NFL. That hasn't happened though.

Jaren Hall is showing that he is a worthy successor to Wilson. Tyler Algiers continues to look like a future NFL running back, and Neil Pau'u is really establishing himself.

Yet, they're still being slept on.

Odds

BYU may be ranked, but they're still the underdog. Even at home they're 3.5 point underdogs to Arizona State, and they're given +156 odds to win the game outright. That translates to just a 39.1% chance to pull off the upset. Meanwhile, Arizona State is given -172 odds, or an implied 62.3% chance to win the game.

So in reality, oddsmakers basically see home field as being the thing that makes this a close game, but they don't believe BYU could actually win this one.

Matchup History

BYU and Arizona State have met 27 times in their history. BYU has won just 7 of those games.

The good news is that they've won the last 2 times these teams played each other. The bad news is that those games were before the turn of the 21st century.

So, technically BYU is on a win streak against Arizona State, but it was so long ago it hardly matters. Both programs are just so different then they were in 1998 that their matchup history is pretty irrelevant.

Conclusion

BYU and Arizona State are likely to play a shootout. That usually favors the team with the better quarterback. The public perception would say that means Arizona State is the easy favorite with Jaydon Daniels. Really, it just means a lot of people are about to learn who Jaren Hall is.

This is a FanPost of the <em>Vanquish The Foe</em> community. This post does not necessarily reflect the views of <em>VTF</em> or of SB Nation