After opening with three Pac-12 opponents, BYU should get a bit of breather as they welcome 1-2 South Florida of the AAC into Provo. USF is coming off their first win of the season versus FCS Foe Florida A&M after getting blown out by NC State and Florida. Vegas and the computer metrics favor BYU comfortably in this one, but BYU will still need to come out strong and avoid complacency.
Lines and Odds
BYU opened as a 23-point favorite and is still at 23 as of this writing. The over/under is 53.5. BYU didn’t cover the near two-touchdown spread versus Arizona but covered and won outright versus Utah and Arizona State as underdogs. All three of BYU’s games have hit the under.
Sagarin has been low on BYU, but the rankings are starting to come around. After opening the year at 95 and checking in at 71 before ASU, BYU is number 48 now and South Florida is number 133. Factoring home field advantage, Sagarin has BYU favored by 22.
Billingsley still loves BYU, with BYU checking in at number 3 in the rankings behind only Alabama and Georgia. USF is ranked 109 and BYU is favored by 26.
ESPN’s FPI rankings give BYU a 93.2% win probability. They are more in line with Sagarin, ranking BYU 44 and USF 110.
Massey’s composite ratings combine 36 different rating sites and combine them into one composite ranking. It doesn’t give score predictions, but it ranks BYU 19 and South Florida 115.