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Computer rankings for BYU basketball and opponents

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A preseason look at a couple computer rankings, and what they think about BYU and its opponents.

Jonathan Daniel

Preseason human polls are usually useless, and in college basketball, sometimes the regular-season human polls are, too. Computer rankings can be useful, though in the preseason most of those are based on some combination of prediction and last season's results.

But it's still at least fun to see what people and/or math formulas think about teams. With that in mind, I've taken a look at the rankings of Ken Pomeroy, college basketball stats god, as well as the results of Prediction Machine's Predictalator.

Ken Pomeroy lists our beloved BYU Cougars at #50 -- just inside the top 50, which is generally considered "best" in the large context of Division I's 347 teams.

Prediction Machine, on the other hand, puts BYU at #37. This ranking was determined by current rosters and depth charts, and a simulation of every team against each other done 50,000 times. Teams were then put in order by winning percentage.

Somewhere in that range feels right to me. If BYU wins a couple swing games, 37 is possible. If not, hovering at or just below 50 is likely.

I also compiled the rankings for all of BYU's opponents. Here you go!

OPPONENT

Ken Pomeroy

Predict Machine

Tennessee State

152

223

Georgia State

164

103

Florida State

51

36

Notre Dame or

Saint Joseph's

17
42

18
69

UTSA

214

148

Cal State Northridge

253

294

Montana

103

107

Iowa State

62

35

Utah State

98

115

Utah

309

286

Weber State

187

191

Eastern New Mexico

--

--

Baylor

20

17

Northern Arizona

325

346

Virginia Tech

79

110

NON CONFERENCE AVG

138.4

139.9

Loyola Marymount

155

173

San Francisco

197

188

Pepperdine

299

318

Santa Clara

154

199

Saint Mary's

47

42

San Diego

140

156

Gonzaga

14

26

Portland

182

292

WCC AVERAGE

148.5

174.3

OVERALL AVERAGE

141.9

151.9

Top 50 teams

4/22

6/22

Top 100 teams

8/22

6/22

Top-half teams

14/22

13/22

KenPom loves Gonzaga, and for good reason. The Zags will be good. I think all three of the other Utah's teams will end up being underrated by these numbers. I don't expect Utah to be nearly as terrible, and I think Utah State and Weber State will be better than these numbers as well.